Leveraging Degradation Testing and Condition Monitoring for Field Reliability Analysis With Time-Varying Operating Missions

摘要

Traditionally, degradation testing and condition monitoring are used separately to investigate field reliability. Barriers are naturally formed between these two types of methods due to condition-discrepancies between lab testing and field monitoring, as well as time-varying missions among product population groups. In this paper, a joint framework for field reliability analysis is presented by integrating degradation testing data as well as mission operating information with condition monitoring observations. A coherent modeling strategy is introduced for the information integration by gradually adopting random effects, dynamic covariates, and marker processes into a baseline stochastic degradation model. In detail, random effects are introduced to cope with the inherent unit-to-unit variation. Dynamic covariates are adopted to deal with the external condition heterogeneity. Marker processes are used to account for the time-varying missions. To facilitate information integration and reliability analysis, the Bayesian method is used to implement parameter estimation and degradation analysis. The reliability assessment of products' populations, degradation prediction, and residual life prediction of individual products are investigated. Finally, an illustrative example for field degradation analysis of oil debris in a lubrication system of a machine tool's spindle system is presented. The effectiveness of information integration and the capability of degradation inference are demonstrated through this example.