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Human Error Considerations in Determining the Optimum Test Interval for Periodically Inspected Standby Systems

机译:确定定期检查备用系统的最佳测试间隔时的人为错误考虑

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This paper incorporates the effects of two types of human error in a model for determining the optimal time between inspections for a safety system. The possibility that a bad safety system is undetected upon inspection (Type B human error), as well as the possibility that a good safety system is inadvertently left in a bad state after the inspection (Type A human error), are considered. We develop a Markov model for the steady-state availability of the safety system which is then used to determine the optimum time between inspections which either maximizes the availability or minimizes the combined inspection and unavailability costs. The safety system failure (hazard) rate need not be constant. The optimum time between inspections increases as the probability of a Type A error increases and a Type B error decreases. The optimum availability decreases and the optimum total cost increases as the error probabilities increase.
机译:本文在确定安全系统两次检查之间的最佳时间的模型中纳入了两种人为错误的影响。考虑了在检查时未检测到不良安全系统的可能性(B型人为错误),以及在检查后无意中使良好的安全系统处于不良状态的可能性(A型人为错误)。我们为安全系统的稳态可用性开发了一个马尔可夫模型,然后将其用于确定两次检查之间的最佳时间,从而使可用性最大化或使检查和不可用性的总成本最小化。安全系统故障(危险)率不必恒定。两次检查之间的最佳时间随着A型错误的可能性增加而B型错误的可能性减小而增加。随着错误概率的增加,最佳可用性会降低,最佳总成本也会增加。

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