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Decaffeinating portfolios via volatility

机译:通过波动使投资组合失去咖啡因

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摘要

It may seem counter-intuitive, but volatility can actually be a stabilizing force for your portfolio. Volatility-based strategies are typically non-correlated to traditional techniques and often result in smoother equity growth if properly employed. Here, we exploit volatility trends in Starbucks. Most traders consider sophisticated option strategies complex financial instruments, designed for pros only. As such, these techniques are often overlooked as a way to tap changes in volatility as a source of returns. However, volatility-oriented trading strategies can stabilize an investor's portfolio because of their non-correlation to traditional investments. Volatility-based strategies can reduce overall portfolio risk and provide insurance against external shocks. Theoretical foundations for volatility were laid by the German mathematician, Gauss, as in the Gausschen normal distribution, which works on the principle that coincidental values fluctuate around a middle value in the shape of a bell curve (log normal distribution). Economists Harry Markowitz, Fisher Black, Myron Scholes, Robert Merton and William Sharpe expanded on this in their formulas regarding portfolio theory and option-pricing models (see "A Black-Scholes Peek at Futures Prices," page 38).
机译:看起来似乎违反直觉,但波动实际上可能是您投资组合的稳定力量。基于波动率的策略通常与传统技术不相关,如果使用得当,通常会导致股票增长更为平稳。在这里,我们利用星巴克的波动趋势。大多数交易者认为复杂的期权策略是复杂的金融工具,仅适用于专业人士。因此,这些技术通常被视为利用波动性变化作为回报来源的一种方式。但是,基于波动率的交易策略由于与传统投资不相关,因此可以稳定投资者的投资组合。基于波动率的策略可以降低投资组合的整体风险,并提供抵御外部冲击的保险。波动性的理论基础是由德国数学家高斯(Gauss)所建立的,就像高斯正态分布一样,该理论的依据是重合值围绕钟形曲线的中间值波动(对数正态分布)。经济学家哈里·马克科维茨(Harry Markowitz),费舍尔·布莱克(Fisher Black),迈伦·斯科尔斯(Myron Scholes),罗伯特·默顿(Robert Merton)和威廉·夏普(William Sharpe)在有关投资组合理论和期权定价模型的公式中对此进行了扩展(请参阅第38页的“ Black-Scholes窥视期货价格”)。

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