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Bite the birds

机译:咬鸟

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MOSQUITOES, which carry malaria parasites, like the warm and wet conditions that are expected to become more common with climate change. This has led many to reason that malarial infections will increase. Yet studies run into the unreliability of modelling future climatic effects and sometimes ignore changes in land use and health care. However, a new analysis of the spread of avian malaria shows that for the birds, at least, there is a real worry. Laszlo Garamszegi, of the Donana Biological Station in Spain, studied patterns of malarial infections in birds to avoid confounding human factors in determining the epidemiology of a closely related parasite. He looked at 43 previous studies that had carefully screened 3,000 bird species for malaria in different locations over the past 70 years. He found that an increase in global temperatures of 1℃ was accompanied by a twoto threefold increase in the average prevalence of malaria in birds. The most dramatic increases took place during the past 20 years.
机译:携带疟疾寄生虫的蚊子,例如温暖和潮湿的条件,预计随着气候变化会越来越普遍。这导致许多人认为疟疾感染会增加。然而,研究陷入了对未来气候影响进行建模的不可靠性,并且有时会忽略土地使用和医疗保健方面的变化。但是,对禽类疟疾传播的新分析表明,至少对于鸟类而言,确实存在担忧。西班牙Donana生物站的Laszlo Garamszegi研究了鸟类中的疟疾感染模式,以避免在确定密切相关的寄生虫的流行病学时混淆人为因素。他研究了43项以前的研究,这些研究在过去70年中仔细筛选了3000种鸟类在不同地区的疟疾。他发现,全球温度每升高1℃,禽类的平均疟疾流行率就会增加2到3倍。在过去的20年中,增长幅度最大。

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    《The economist》 |2011年第8732期|p.74|共1页
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