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Dynamic Modulus Prediction of a High-Modulus Asphalt Mixture

机译:高模量沥青混合料的动态模量预测

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Dynamic modulus is a key evaluation index of the high-modulus asphalt mixture, but it is relatively difficult to test and collect its data. The purpose is to achieve the accurate prediction of the dynamic modulus of the high-modulus asphalt mixture and further optimize the design process of the high-modulus asphalt mixture. Five high-temperature performance indexes of high-modulus asphalt and its mixture were selected. The correlation between the above five indexes and the dynamic modulus of the high-modulus asphalt mixture was analyzed. On this basis, the dynamic modulus prediction models of the high-modulus asphalt mixture based on small sample data were established by multiple regression, general regression neural network (GRNN), and support vector machine (SVM) neural network. According to parameter adjustment and cross-validation, the output stability and accuracy of different prediction models were compared and evaluated. The most effective prediction model was recommended. The results show that the SVM model has more significant prediction accuracy and output stability than the multiple regression model and the GRNN model. Its prediction error was 0.98–9.71%. Compared with the other two models, the prediction error of the SVM model declined by 0.50–11.96% and 3.76–13.44%. The SVM neural network was recommended as the dynamic modulus prediction model of the high-modulus asphalt mixture.
机译:动态模量是高模量沥青混合料的关键评估指标,但它相对难以测试和收集其数据。目的是达到高模量沥青混合物的动态模量的准确预测,进一步优化高模量沥青混合物的设计过程。选择高模量沥青及其混合物的五个高温性能指标。分析了上述五个指标与高模量沥青混合物的动态模量之间的相关性。在此基础上,通过多元回归,一般回归神经网络(GRNN)建立了基于小样本数据的高模量沥青混合混合物的动态模量预测模型,并支持向量机(SVM)神经网络。根据参数调整和交叉验证,比较和评估不同预测模型的输出稳定性和准确性。建议使用最有效的预测模型。结果表明,SVM模型具有比多元回归模型和GRNN模型更明显的预测精度和输出稳定性。其预测误差为0.98-9.71%。与其他两种模型相比,SVM模型的预测误差下降0.50-11.96%和3.76-13.44%。建议SVM神经网络作为高模量沥青混合料的动态模量预测模型。

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