Risk evaluation for the navigation environment of the LNG ship based on the cloud model

摘要

In order to enhance water transport safety of the LNG ship and improve the objectivity of risk assessment of LNG ships navigation environment, the cloud model which can realize the conversion between qualitative and quantitative evaluation indexes is used to evaluate the LNG ships navigation environment. Combined with the Delphi method, cloud weight and cloud model of indexes at all levels in the evaluation system are determined. At the same time, simulation is carried out by MATLAB software and cloud chart is obtained. And then we analyze the risk level of different factors in LNG ships navigation environment to get the evaluation results, which provides decision-making basis for navigation safety management. Overall, it is testified that the cloud model can reduce the randomness and fuzziness in the process of evaluating and the irrationality caused by the subjective assumption of weight distribution, which makes the results more reasonable and credible.