Monetary and fiscal policy shocks and economic growth in Kenya: VAR econometric approach

摘要

In macroeconomic policy design and management, monetary and fiscal policies are of great essence. However, the relative effectiveness of these policies has been subject to debate in both theoretical and practical realms for a long period of time. This paper investigated the relative potency of the policies in altering real output in Kenya using a recursive vector autoregressive (VAR) framework. The analysis of variance decomposition and impulse response functions reveled that fiscal policy has a significant positive impact on real output growth in Kenya while monetary policy shocks are completely insignificant with fiscal policy shock significantly alters the real output for a period of almost eight quarters.