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Effects of estimation accuracy on potential payment premiums for superior beef carcasses

机译:估算准确性对优质牛肉car体潜在支付保费的影响

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Abstract Knowledge of saleable meat yield (SMY%) at the time of carcass classification enables payments to be made on the basis of carcass saleable meat content. This study determined the extent to which improved accuracy of estimating SMY% enabled larger premiums to be paid for better yielding carcasses. A population of 1000 carcasses was simulated for true SMY% values (275 kg carcass weight; mean SMY% of 66 with a standard deviation of 3.0) as well as estimated SMY% values when accuracies in terms of residual standard deviation (RSDs) ranged from 0 to 2.5. A consequence of the requirement that estimates of SMY% be unbiased was that variability of the estimates was less than that of the true SMY% when estimation was imperfect. Premiums that could be paid to the top 5% of carcasses relative to the average increased by 5.8, 9.2, and 9.7 c kg?1 as the RSD decreased from 2.5 to 1.0 for five‐step, eight‐step, and smooth payment systems, respectively. The rate at which potential premiums increased with decreas...
机译:摘要对Knowledge体分类时的可售肉产量(SMY%)的了解使付款可以基于car体可售肉含量进行。这项研究确定了提高SMY%估算准确度的程度,从而可以为更高产量的car体支付更高的保费。模拟了1000个car体的真实SMY%值(275公斤car体重量;平均SMY%为66,标准差为3.0),以及当残余标准偏差(RSD)的准确性介于0至2.5。要求SMY%的估计值必须无偏的结果是,当估计值不完美时,估计值的变异性小于真实SMY%的变异性。五步,八步和平稳支付系统的RSD从2.5降低到1.0,可以向could体的前5%支付的保费相对于平均值增加5.8、9.2和9.7 c kg?1,分别。潜在保费随着税率下降而增加的速度...

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