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The Ontario nuclear power dispute: a strategic analysis

机译:安大略省核电争端:战略分析

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Background The Graph Model for Conflict Resolution methodology is used to formally investigate the nuclear power dispute that took place in the Canadian province of Ontario in order to obtain strategic insights into its resolution. This flexible systems methodology is used to study the nuclear conflict at two key points in time, 2008 and 2010. Results The results of the 2008 analysis show that the only decision makers involved in the conflict who hold real power are the Federal and Ontario governments, although at the beginning of the investigation other organizations had also been considered as participating decision makers. According to a strategic analysis carried out for the conflict as it existed in 2010, the equilibria or potential resolutions of the 2008 analysis are found to be transitional states leading to the 2010 resolution. Moreover, a negative attitude by the Federal Government can cause an outcome to occur that is not highly preferred by either the Federal Government or the province of Ontario. Conclusions By closely following the decision makers’ actions, a detailed analysis of the nuclear dispute in Ontario is carried out. Stability, sensitivity, and attitude analyses are performed, and the results are closely correlated with what happened in reality.
机译:背景技术用于解决冲突的图形模型方法用于正式调查在加拿大安大略省发生的核电争端,以获得对其解决方案的战略见解。这种灵活的系统方法论被用于在2008年和2010年的两个关键时刻研究核冲突。结果2008年的分析结果表明,参与冲突的唯一拥有真正权力的决策者是联邦政府和安大略省政府,尽管在调查开始时,其他组织也被认为是参与决策者。根据针对2010年存在的冲突进行的战略分析,发现2008年分析的均衡或潜在解决方案是导致2010年解决方案的过渡国家。此外,联邦政府的消极态度可能导致结局的出现,这无论是联邦政府还是安大略省都不是很希望的结果。结论通过密切关注决策者的行动,对安大略省的核争议进行了详细分析。进行稳定性,敏感性和态度分析,结果与现实情况密切相关。

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