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Stability Bound of Ruin Probability in a Reduced Two-Dimensional Risk Model

机译:二维风险模型中破产概率的稳定性界

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In this work, we introduce the qualitative and quantitative concept of the strong stability method in the risk process modeling two lines of business of the same insurance company or an insurance and re-insurance companies that divide between them both claims and premiums with a certain proportion. The approach proposed is based on the identification of the ruin probability associate to the model considered, with a stationary distribution of a Markov random process called a reversed process. Our objective, after clarifying the condition and the perturbation domain of parameters, is to obtain the stability inequality of the ruin probability which is applied to estimate the approximation error of a model with disturbance parameters by the considered model. In the stability bound obtained, all constants are explicitly written.
机译:在这项工作中,我们在风险过程建模中引入强稳定性方法的定性和定量概念,该过程对同一保险公司或保险再保险公司的两条业务线进行建模,这两种业务将索赔和保费按一定比例划分。所提出的方法是基于与所考虑的模型相关联的破产概率的识别,具有称为逆过程的马尔可夫随机过程的平稳分布。在弄清参数的条件和扰动域之后,我们的目标是获得毁灭概率的稳定性不等式,该不等式用于通过考虑的模型来估计带有扰动参数的模型的近似误差。在获得的稳定性范围内,所有常量均已明确写入。

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