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首页> 外文期刊>International Journal of Financial Studies >Public Debt, Public Investment and Economic Growth in Mexico
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Public Debt, Public Investment and Economic Growth in Mexico

机译:墨西哥的公共债务,公共投资与经济增长

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The primary objective of this article is to answer the following two research questions: has the growing public debt of state governments promoted increased public investment? If the answer is yes, then does any increase in public investment lead to more growth in the Mexican states? Dynamic Models of panel data and the Generalized Method of Moments, with information for 32 states from 1993 to 2012, were used for this purpose. The econometric results confirmed that public debt is positively correlated with public investment and that this in turn generates economic growth. This does not mean that a good economic policy strategy has been followed, since the marginal positive impact of public investment, and therefore the public debt on the production per person, is reduced (1% increase in the interaction between public investment and public debt variable causes a 0.0005% increase in economic growth). This suggests deviations from the debt contracted for purposes other than production, which could lead to a situation of unsustainability of state public finances in the medium term.
机译:本文的主要目的是回答以下两个研究问题:州政府公共债务的增加是否促进了公共投资的增加?如果答案是肯定的,那么公共投资的增加是否会导致墨西哥各州的增长?为此,使用了面板数据的动态模型和广义矩方法以及1993年至2012年间32个州的信息。计量经济学结果证实,公共债务与公共投资正相关,这反过来又促进了经济增长。这并不意味着要遵循良好的经济政策策略,因为公共投资的边际积极影响因而减少了公共债务对人均生产的影响(公共投资与公共债务变量之间的相互作用增加了1%导致经济增长提高0.0005%)。这表明与为生产以外的目的而承包的债务存在偏差,这可能导致中期国家公共财政不可持续的情况。

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