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Excess mortality impact of two epidemics of pandemic influenza A(H1N1pdm09) virus in Hong Kong

机译:香港两次流行的甲型H1N1pdm09流行病对死亡率的影响

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AbstractHong Kong experienced two large epidemics of pandemic influenza A(H1N1pdm09). We used regression methods to estimate the excess mortality associated with each epidemic. The first epidemic of H1N1pdm09 peaked in September 2009 and was associated with 2·13 [95% confidence interval (CI): −8·08, 11·82] excess all-cause deaths per 100 000 population. The second epidemic of H1N1pdm09 in early 2011 was associated with 4·72 [95% CI: −0·70, 10·50] excess deaths per 100 000 population. More than half of the estimated excess all-cause deaths were attributable to respiratory causes in each epidemic. The reasons for substantial impact in the second wave remain to be clarified.
机译:摘要香港经历了两次大流行的甲型H1N1pdm09流行病。我们使用回归方法来估算与每种流行病相关的额外死亡率。 H1N1pdm09的首次流行在2009年9月达到高峰,并与每10万人口中因全因原因死亡的2·13 [95%置信区间(CI):-8·08、11·82]相关。 H1N1pdm09在2011年初的第二次流行病与每10万人口中4·72 [95%CI:-0·70,10·50]额外死亡相关。在每种流行病中,估计的全因过量死亡中有一半以上是由于呼吸系统原因引起的。在第二波中产生重大影响的原因还有待澄清。

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