Incidencia del tipo de cambio en la exportación de carne bovina y de pollo

摘要

This study interprets how the changes in the exchange rate impacts in the exports’ taxes of the two main chains of the meat complex (beef and chicken) and, in consequence, to the Brazilian exporter livestock sector. This article is divided into two main parts: a theoretical background is followed by the use of the vector autoregressive model (VAR), in order to check the influence of fluctuations in the exchange rate and others endogenous variables on the exported volume in tons, of beef and chicken. The VAR results were verified through of the evaluation of the changes in the scale of relevance of the series, and especially the exchange. What was observed was that exchange rate suffered fluctuations cause impacts in the exports of the meat complex, which can interfere in the Brazilian economy, especially in the production sector of the chicken meat.