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Time-series and cross-sectional momentum and contrarian strategies within the commodity futures markets

机译:商品期货市场中的时间序列和横截面动量以及逆势策略

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AbstractThe aim within this paper is to analyze the difference between momentum and contrarian portfolios constructed under the cross-sectional and time-series analysis, within the commodity futures markets. The returns indicate that the contrarian portfolios are the most profitable, as well as it’s observed that they perform better within the cross-sectional analysis. The correlation of the best portfolios within other markets is also examined, and the results confirm that they are indeed a good investment tool for diversifying a portfolio with different assets. Within a pre- and post-2008 global crisis point of view, the findings suggest that, for the contrarian portfolios, the results are stronger during the pre-crisis period, although during the post-crisis period the portfolios preserve the positive returns. Additionally, it’s perceived that the first and second subsequent years after a crash or crisis year are usually highly profitable within the cross-sectional and time-series contrarian portfolios.
机译:摘要本文旨在分析在商品期货市场中横断面和时间序列分析下动量和逆向投资组合之间的差异。回报表明,逆势投资组合是最有利可图的,而且在横截面分析中观察到它们的表现更好。还检查了其他市场中最佳投资组合的相关性,结果证实它们确实是使具有不同资产的投资组合多样化的良好投资工具。从2008年之前和之后的全球危机的角度来看,这些发现表明,对于逆势投资组合,其结果在危机前时期更为强劲,尽管在危机后时期这些投资组合保持了正收益。此外,人们认为,崩溃或危机年份之后的第一年和第二年通常在横断面和时间序列逆势投资组合中都是高利润的。

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