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About Relationship between Education, Investment and Growth:Identification and Causality for 5 MENA Countries - (Algeria-Egypt-Morocco-Tunisia and Turkey)

机译:关于教育,投资与增长之间的关系:中东和北非5个国家/地区的识别和因果关系-(阿尔及利亚-埃及-摩洛哥-突尼斯和土耳其)

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This paper investigates causality direction between education, material investment and economic growth in a panel of five MENA countries (Algeria, Egypt, Morocco, Tunisia and Turkey) during1975 to 2014. Specifics results by country will be identified about the direction of causality between the three variables. In empirical estimations we used Ganger causality tests, variance decomposition and impulse response functions to a panel data framework through the Arellano- Bond difference GMM estimator. First, we identify a causal relationship between education and economic growth as well as between education and investment. In addition, we found that the education causes economic growth after three years whereas economic growth causes the education after only one year. The results also confirm a transmission mechanism that runs from education to economic growth through material investment. This shows that increases in human capital should boost the return on physical investment. Consequently, sustaining economic growth can be performed by investment and education. Finely, according to the results we approve that emphasizing on physical investment instead of sufficient care on human capital investments is not the better way to achieve growth at medium and long run.
机译:本文研究了五个中东和北非国家(阿尔及利亚,埃及,摩洛哥,突尼斯和土耳其)在1975年至2014年期间的教育,物质投资与经济增长之间的因果关系方向。将根据国家/地区确定这三个因果关系方向的具体结果变量。在经验估计中,我们通过Arellano-Bond差GMM估计器对面板数据框架使用了Ganger因果检验,方差分解和脉冲响应函数。首先,我们确定教育与经济增长之间以及教育与投资之间的因果关系。另外,我们发现教育导致三年后经济增长,而经济增长导致仅一年后教育。结果还证实了一种传播机制,该传播机制从教育到通过物质投资实现经济增长。这表明人力资本的增加应提高实物投资的回报。因此,可以通过投资和教育来实现经济的持续增长。好的,根据研究结果,我们认为,强调实物投资而不是对人力资本投资给予足够的关注并不是实现中长期增长的更好方法。

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