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A Markov-Based Road Maintenance Optimization Model Considering User Costs

机译:考虑用户成本的基于马尔可夫的道路养护优化模型

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摘要

User costs of different maintenance actions need to be assessed in road maintenance as well as the maintenance costs. The vehicle operating cost (VOC) and the travel delay cost are two major components of the user costs associated with road maintenance ac-tions. This article simplifies the general calculation mod-els of these two user cost components and develops a multiobjective Markov-based model to minimize both maintenance cost and user cost subject to a number of constraints including the average annual budget limit and the performance requirement. The road deterio-ration process is modeled as a discrete-time Markov process, the states of road performance are defined in terms of the road roughness, and the state transi-tion probabilities are estimated considering the effects of deterioration and maintenance actions. An example is provided to illustrate the use of the proposed road maintenance optimization model. The results show that the optimal road maintenance plan obtained from the model is practical to implement and is cost-effective com-pared with the periodical road maintenance plan. The re-sults also indicate that the maintenance cost and the user cost are competitive. When maintenance works are car-ried out more frequently, the life-cycle maintenance costs will increase while the life-cycle user costs will decrease. This is because the VOC contributes the most amount of the user cost and its change has a contrary trend to the change of the maintenance cost over time.
机译:在道路维护中,需要评估不同维护措施的用户成本以及维护成本。车辆运营成本(VOC)和旅行延误成本是与道路养护活动相关的用户成本的两个主要组成部分。本文简化了这两个用户成本组成部分的通用计算模型,并开发了一个基于多目标马尔可夫模型的模型,以在受到包括年平均预算限制和性能要求在内的诸多约束的情况下,将维护成本和用户成本降至最低。道路退化过程被建模为离散时间马尔可夫过程,根据道路的粗糙度定义道路性能的状态,并考虑劣化和维护措施的影响来估计状态转换概率。提供了一个示例来说明所提出的道路养护优化模型的使用。结果表明,从模型中获得的最优道路养护计划是可行的,与定期道路养护计划相比具有成本效益。结果还表明,维护成本和用户成本具有竞争力。如果更频繁地进行维护工作,则生命周期维护成本将增加,而生命周期用户成本将降低。这是因为VOC贡献了最大的用户成本,并且其变化与维护成本随时间变化的趋势相反。

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  • 作者

    Hui Gao; Xueqing Zhang;

  • 作者单位

    Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clear Water Bay, Kowloon, Hong Kong, China;

    Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clear Water Bay, Kowloon, Hong Kong, China;

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