Protecting the data-driven newsvendor against rare events: a correction-term approach

摘要

We propose an approach to the data-driven newsvendor problem that incorporates a correction factor to account for rare events, when the decision-maker has few historical data points at his disposal but knows the range of the demand. This mitigates a weakness of pure data-driven methodologies, specifically, the fact that they under-protect the system against tail events, which are in general under-observed in the empirical demand distribution. We test the approach in extensive computational experiments and provide a summary table of the numerical experiments to help the decision maker gain further insights.