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For Whom the Shutdown Tolls

机译:为谁关闭电话

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What if the partial U.S. government shutdown extends into spring or beyond? That's the scary scenario many businesses and households are having to ponder. An administration official said the White House is drawing up game plans for the shutdown to last at least through February-even as President Trump's economic advisers are warning it's already having a negative impact on growth. "Shutdowns don't get bad linearly; they get bad exponentially," says Sam Berger, a senior adviser at the Center for American Progress, who worked at the Office of Management and Budget under President Barack Obama. Here's what might happen:The Agriculture Department has said there may not be enough money to keep food assistance benefits flowing to 38 million recipients past February. Joe Brusuelas, chief economist with consultant RSM US LLC, estimates the interruption could strip at least 0.53 percentage points from gross domestic product.
机译:如果美国政府部分关闭会持续到春季或更长时间呢?这是许多企业和家庭不得不考虑的可怕情况。一位政府官员说,白宫正在制定关闭计划,至少要持续到2月份,即使特朗普总统的经济顾问警告说,这已经对经济增长产生负面影响。 “停摆不会线性恶化;它们会成倍地恶化,”美国进步中心高级顾问山姆·伯杰尔(Sam Berger)说,他曾在巴拉克·奥巴马(Barack Obama)总统下管理和预算办公室任职。可能发生的情况是:农业部表示,可能没有足够的资金来保持食品援助津贴在2月之前流向3800万受援国。顾问公司RSM US LLC的首席经济学家乔·布鲁索拉斯(Joe Brusuelas)估计,中断可能会使国内生产总值(GDP)至少下降0.53个百分点。

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