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Chaos Time Series Prediction Based on Membrane Optimization Algorithms

机译:基于膜优化算法的混沌时间序列预测

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摘要

This paper puts forward a prediction model based on membrane computing optimization algorithm for chaos time series; the model optimizes simultaneously the parameters of phase space reconstruction (τ, m) and least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) (γ, σ) by using membrane computing optimization algorithm. It is an important basis for spectrum management to predict accurately the change trend of parameters in the electromagnetic environment, which can help decision makers to adopt an optimal action. Then, the model presented in this paper is used to forecast band occupancy rate of frequency modulation (FM) broadcasting band and interphone band. To show the applicability and superiority of the proposed model, this paper will compare the forecast model presented in it with conventional similar models. The experimental results show that whether single-step prediction or multistep prediction, the proposed model performs best based on three error measures, namely, normalized mean square error (NMSE), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE).
机译:提出了一种基于膜计算优化算法的混沌时间序列预测模型。该模型使用膜计算优化算法同时优化了相空间重构(τ,m)和最小二乘支持向量机(LS-SVM)(γ,σ)的参数。准确预测电磁环境中参数的变化趋势是频谱管理的重要基础,这可以帮助决策者采取最佳措施。然后,将本文提出的模型用于预测调频广播频段和对讲机频段的频段占用率。为了显示所提出模型的适用性和优越性,本文将比较其中提出的预测模型与常规相似模型。实验结果表明,无论是单步预测还是多步预测,所提出的模型均基于归一化均方误差(NMSE),均方根误差(RMSE)和均值绝对百分比误差(MAPE)三种误差度量而表现最佳。 )。

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