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The Impact of Precipitation Regimes on Forest Fires in Yunnan Province Southwest China

机译:降水方式对云南省森林火灾的影响

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摘要

The amount, frequency, and duration of precipitation have important impact on the occurrence and severity of forest fires. To fully understand the effects of precipitation regimes on forest fires, a drought index was developed with number of consecutive dry days (daily precipitation less than 2 mm) and total precipitation, and the relationships of drought and precipitation with fire activities were investigated over two periods (i.e., 1982–1988 and 1989–2008) in five ecoregions of Yunnan Province. The results showed that precipitation regime had a significant relationship with fire activities during the two periods. However, the influence of the drought on fire activities varied by ecoregions, with more impacts in drier ecoregions IV-V and less impacts in the more humid ecoregions I–III. The drought was more closely related to fire activities than precipitation during the two study periods, especially in the drier ecoregions, indicating that the frequency and the duration of precipitation had significant influences on forest fires in the drier areas. Drought appears to offer a better explanation than total precipitation on temporal changes in fire regimes across the five ecoregions in Yunnan. Our findings have significant implications for forecasting the local fire dangers under the future climate change.
机译:降水的数量,频率和持续时间对森林火灾的发生和严重程度具有重要影响。为了充分了解降水方式对森林火灾的影响,建立了干旱指数,其中包括连续干旱天数(日降水量小于2mm)和总降水量,并研究了干旱和降水与火灾活动之间的关系。云南省五个生态区(即1982–1988和1989–2008)。结果表明,在这两个时期,降水状况与火灾活动有显着关系。但是,干旱对火灾活动的影响因生态区域而异,对较干燥的IV-V生态区域影响更大,而对较湿润的I-III生态区域影响较小。在两个研究期间,干旱与火灾活动比与降水活动更紧密相关,特别是在较干旱的生态区,这表明干旱的频率和持续时间对较干旱地区的森林火灾有重大影响。相对于云南五个生态区火情随时间变化的总降水量,干旱似乎提供了更好的解释。我们的发现对于预测未来气候变化下的局部火灾危险具有重要意义。

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