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Robust estimation of encouragement-design intervention effects transported across sites

机译:可靠估计跨站点传递的鼓励设计干预效果

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摘要

We develop robust targeted maximum likelihood estimators (TMLE) for transporting intervention effects from one population to another. Specifically, we develop TMLE estimators for three transported estimands: intent-to-treat average treatment effect (ATE) and complier ATE, which are relevant for encouragement-design interventions and instrumental variable analyses, and the ATE of the exposure on the outcome, which is applicable to any randomized or observational study. We demonstrate finite sample performance of these TMLE estimators using simulation, including in the presence of practical violations of the positivity assumption. We then apply these methods to the Moving to Opportunity trial, a multi-site, encouragement-design intervention in which families in public housing were randomized to receive housing vouchers and logistical support to move to low-poverty neighborhoods. This application sheds light on whether effect differences across sites can be explained by differences in population composition.
机译:我们开发了强大的针对性最大似然估计器(TMLE),用于将干预效果从一个人群转移到另一个人群。具体来说,我们针对三种传输的估计值开发了TMLE估计量:意向治疗平均治疗效果(ATE)和合规性ATE,这与鼓励设计干预措施和工具变量分析以及结果暴露的ATE有关,适用于任何随机或观察性研究。我们使用仿真演示了这些TMLE估计量的有限样本性能,包括在实际违反肯定假设的情况下。然后,我们将这些方法应用于“转移到机会”试验中,这是一个多地点,鼓励性设计的干预措施,其中,公共住房中的家庭被随机分配以获得住房券和后勤支持,以转移到低贫困社区。该申请揭示了是否可以用种群组成的差异来解释站点间的效果差异。

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