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An Extended Chemical Plant Environmental Protection Game on Addressing Uncertainties of Human Adversaries

机译:解决人类对手不确定性的扩展化工厂环保游戏

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摘要

Chemical production activities in industrial districts pose great threats to the surrounding atmospheric environment and human health. Therefore, developing appropriate and intelligent pollution controlling strategies for the management team to monitor chemical production processes is significantly essential in a chemical industrial district. The literature shows that playing a chemical plant environmental protection (CPEP) game can force the chemical plants to be more compliant with environmental protection authorities and reduce the potential risks of hazardous gas dispersion accidents. However, results of the current literature strictly rely on several perfect assumptions which rarely hold in real-world domains, especially when dealing with human adversaries. To address bounded rationality and limited observability in human cognition, the CPEP game is extended to generate robust schedules of inspection resources for inspection agencies. The present paper is innovative on the following contributions: (i) The CPEP model is extended by taking observation frequency and observation cost of adversaries into account, and thus better reflects the industrial reality; (ii) Uncertainties such as attackers with bounded rationality, attackers with limited observation and incomplete information (i.e., the attacker’s parameters) are integrated into the extended CPEP model; (iii) Learning curve theory is employed to determine the attacker’s observability in the game solver. Results in the case study imply that this work improves the decision-making process for environmental protection authorities in practical fields by bringing more rewards to the inspection agencies and by acquiring more compliance from chemical plants.
机译:工业区的化学生产活动对周围的大气环境和人类健康构成了巨大威胁。因此,在化学工业区,为管理团队制定适当的智能污染控制策略以监控化学生产过程至关重要。文献表明,玩化工厂环境保护(CPEP)游戏可以迫使化工厂更符合环境保护主管部门的要求,并减少有害气体扩散事故的潜在风险。但是,当前文献的结果严格地依赖于几个完美的假设,这些假设在现实世界中很少使用,尤其是在与人类对手打交道时。为了解决人类认知中有限的合理性和可观察性的问题,CPEP游戏被扩展以生成针对检验机构的检验资源的稳健时间表。本文在以下方面做出了创新:(i)通过考虑观察者的观察频率和观察成本来扩展CPEP模型,从而更好地反映了产业现实; (ii)不确定性,例如具有有限理性的攻击者,观察力有限且信息不完整(即,攻击者的参数)的攻击者已纳入扩展的CPEP模型中; (iii)学习曲线理论用于确定攻击者在游戏求解器中的可观察性。案例研究的结果表明,这项工作通过为检查机构带来更多奖励并从化工厂获得更多合规性,从而改善了实际领域中环保部门的决策过程。

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