首页> 美国卫生研究院文献>Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences >Transmission dynamics of a zoonotic pathogen within and between wildlife host species.
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Transmission dynamics of a zoonotic pathogen within and between wildlife host species.

机译:野生动物寄主物种内部和之间的人畜共患病原体的传播动态。

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摘要

The transmission dynamics of the cowpox virus infection have been quantified in two mixed populations of bank voles (Clethrionomys glareolus) and wood mice (Apodemus sylvaticus), through analyses of detailed time-series of the numbers of susceptible, infectious and newly infected individuals. The cowpox virus is a zoonosis which circulates in these rodent hosts and has been shown to have an adverse effect on reproductive output. The transmission dynamics within species is best described as frequency dependent rather than density dependent, contrary to the 'mass action' assumption of most previous studies, both theoretical and empirical. Estimation of a transmission coefficient for each species in each population also allows annual and seasonal variations in transmission dynamics to be investigated through an analysis of regression residuals. Transmission between host species is found to be negligible despite their close cohabitation. The consequences of this for the combining ability of hosts as zoonotic reservoirs, and for apparent competition between hosts, are discussed.
机译:通过对易感,感染和新感染个体数量的详细时间序列进行分析,已在两个混合种群的田鼠(鼠疫鼠(Clethrionomys glareolus)和木鼠(Apodemus sylvaticus))中定量了牛痘病毒感染的传播动力学。牛痘病毒是一种人畜共患病,在这些啮齿动物宿主中循环传播,并已证明对生殖输出有不利影响。物种内的传播动力学最好描述为频率相关的,而不是密度相关的,这与以往大多数理论和经验研究中的“质量作用”假设相反。估计每个种群中每个物种的传播系数还可以通过分析回归残差来研究传播动力学的年度和季节性变化。尽管它们同居,但宿主物种之间的传播被忽略不计。讨论了这对于宿主作为人畜共患病的库的结合能力以及宿主之间明显竞争的后果。

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