陕西省人口—空间—经济—社会城市化耦合协调分析

摘要

城市化是一个涉及到人口、空间、经济、社会等诸方面结构转换的复杂运行系统,其内部结构的耦合协调程度关系到城市的良性发展及其城市化质量的提升.为此,以陕西省10个地级市为例,从人口、经济、空间、社会四个方面构建了城市化综合水平指标体系,再结合耦合协调评价模型,对陕西各地市人口、经济、空间、社会城市化发展水平和相互间的耦合协调状态进行了定量研究,结果表明:从城市化来看,陕西省城市化水平总体偏低,呈现以人口城市化、空间城市化为主导的发展态势;从耦合协调度来看,全省总体处于中度耦合协调水平;除省会城市西安人口—空间—经济—社会城市化协调状态良好隶属高度耦合协调类型外,其余地市内部城市化协调状态欠佳,属于中度或低度耦合协调发展类型.因此,今后陕西省推进城市化进程中要注意合理引导,注重各地市不同发展阶段城市化内部的协调发展,以全面提升城市化发展质量.%The comprehensive urbanization is a complex system related to population,space,economy and social urbanization,whose coordination degree of internal elements has a significant effect on urban sustainable development and urbanization quality promotion.Firstly,the 10 prefecture-level cities in Shaanxi provinces were took as the research objects,the urbanization comprehensive index system is built from four aspects of population,economy,space and society.Combined with the coupling and coordination evaluation model,the population,economy,space and social urbanization development level and the coupling coordination state of each other in Shaanxi are quantitatively studied.The conclusions are as follow s:From the view of urbanization,the urbanization level of Shaanxi province is generally low,showing the trend of urbanization dominated by population urbanization and spatial urbanization.From the view of coupling coordination,the province is generally in the moderate level of coupling and coordination.In addition to the well coupled coordination type of Xi'an population,space economy and social urbanization in the provincial capital city,the coordination state of the urbanization in the other cities is not good,which belongs to the medium or low coupling coordinated development type.Therefore,in the process of promoting urbanization in Shaanxi Province,we should pay attention to rational guidance in the process of urbanization in the future,and pay attention to the coordinated development of urbanization in different development stages of different cities in order to improve the quality of urbanization in an all-round way.And then to make a comprehensive evaluation of the urbanization level.Secondly,the coordination estimate model was used to assess the coupling coordination state and the spatial distribution pattern of them,the results show s that the urbanization development level in Shaanxi province is overall low,and assumes a pattern of population urbanization> space urbanization > economy urbanization > society urbanization.From the coupling coordination degree,population urbanization and space urbanization is the majority among the 10 prefecture-level cities.Therefore,to further improving the quality of urbanization,it is needed to develop the economic urbanization and social urbanization,also we must pay attention to the internal harmony and unification of urbanization development.