Alaska OCS (Outer Continental Shelf) Socioeconomic Studies Program. Technical Report Number 78. Statewide and Census Division Demographic and Economic Systems, Navarin Basin (Sale 83) Impact Analysis

摘要

The study discusses the economic and demographic effects of proposed Outer Continental Shelf petroleum development in the Navarin Basin. The Navarin Basin is located in the western Bering Sea. A lease sale for this area is scheduled for March 1984. The analysis of the study is carried out both for the state of Alaska as a whole, and for the Aleutian Islands census division. Chapter II provides a historical review of the statewide and Aleutian economies. Chapter III discusses the projection methodology, which is based of the MAP and SCIMP models. Chapter IV discusses the basic assumptions about the structure of the statewide and regional economies, the independent factors which would determine economic growth in the absence of the lease sale, and the direct impacts of the sale. Chapter V discusses the Aleutian Islands base case and impact projections.