水中兵器延寿样本的实航可靠度鉴定试验方案研究

摘要

针对GB5080．5对实航可靠度鉴定需要大量试验样本这一实际情况，提出一种减少试验样本的Bayes方法．该方法通过挖掘延寿前实航可靠度信息，确定先验分布，开展陆上全雷工作试验增加实航信息，并结合海上实航信息，进而制定实航可靠度鉴定试验新方案．实例计算表明：在确保鉴定效果的前提下，新方法可较大的节省海上实航试验条数，满足水中兵器延寿工程的实际需要．%For the extended life of underwater weapon samples ,demonstration of the working reliability is an important basis for the overall implementation extended life measures .The demonstration test scheme by GB5080 .5 need to many samples ,so gives a Bayesian certification scheme to reduced the sample .By mining the messages of the working reliability before extended life ,land equivalent trial and sea trial ,thereby give a new method constitute demonstration scheme .T he example show s that the method is premise the quality of demonstration w hile a great deal of sea trial sample is saved ,and it is satisfy the need of practical engineering .