班车通勤次数选择行为研究

摘要

Based on the RP and SP surveys for car commuters ,factors w hich influence the commuting times by shuttle bus such as sex ,age ,driving experience and fuel price were analyzed .The Ordinal Logit(OL)model was established to analyze the choice behavior of commuting by shuttle bus instead of car .The model coefficients showed that ,with the increase of fuel price ,the shuttle bus was used more frequently by car commuters whose driving experience is less than three years .However ,car commuters whose driving experience is more than three years were less influenced by the fuel price , that is to say ,with the increase of fuel price ,car commuters with more than three driving experience were less possible to become shuttle bus commuters .%通过对私家车通勤出行者RP和SP调查，分析了性别、年龄、驾龄、燃油价格等因素对班车通勤次数选择行为的影响，建立了基于Ordinal Logit（OL）模型的私家车转向班车通勤出行的频率选择模型。模型系数表明，驾龄小于3a的私家车出行者，在燃油价格上涨时，更倾向于班车通勤出行；驾龄大于3a的私家车通勤出行者，随着驾龄的增加，受燃油价格的影响越小，转向班车出行的频率越低。