经济全球化和经济增长关系--基于东部十省市的分析

摘要

Globalization of economic activities continue to promote and expand and bring a lot of effects on China’s economic and industrial structure .Based on the eastern part of China’s 10 provinces and cities with 2004-2011 panel data ,this article studies the relationship between globalization and economic growth of ten provinces and cities in eastern China .Studies have show n that globalization has significant positive effect on economic grow th ;globalization index impact on economic grow th is largest in three biggest prov-inces and cities :Shanghai ,Jiangsu and Shandong ;every 1% increase of index of globalization can increase per capita GDP by 0 .69 ,0 .63 and 0 .60 percent respectively ;the smallest index of globalization impact on economic grow th occurs in such provinces and cities as Zhejiang ,Guangdong and Hebei ;globalization in-dex increase 1% can increase the per capita GDP by 0 .03 ,0 .06 and 0 .08 percent respectively .In addition , the connection between the economic globalization and the economic growth of provinces and cities are not fixed but with time-varying characteristics .%经济全球化的浪潮不断推进和扩展，给中国经济和产业结构等带来了许多影响。基于中国东部十省市2004-2011年的面板数据，详细研究中国东部十省市经济增长与经济全球化的关系。研究表明，经济全球化对经济增长具有显著的正向影响，经济全球化指数对经济增长影响最大的三个省市是上海、江苏和山东，经济全球化指数每增加1个百分点，人均GDP分别增加0．69、0．63、0．60个百分点；经济全球化指数对经济增长影响最小的三个省市是浙江、广东、河北，经济全球化指数每增加1个百分点，人均GDP分别增加0．03、0．06、0．08个百分点。此外，经济全球化与各省市经济增长之间的联系不是固定不变的，而是具有时变的特征。