中国对外直接投资的母国碳排放效应研究

摘要

This paper finds that OFDI has a significant positive impact on the carbon emissions by empirical analysis of 30 provinces’ (Tibet excluded) panel data in China from 2004 to 2013 . If the OFDI increases by 1% , CO2 emissions per capita will increase by about 0.012% . However , this effect is proved with region variance . That is , the positive effect of OFDI on China’s carbon emissions appears higher in central China than western China while this effect appears negative and insignificant in eastern China . Meanwhile , it is found that GDP , industrial structure , technological level and energy consumption structure can significantly influence China’s carbon emissions .%本文选用2004～2013年我国30个省市自治区（除西藏外）面板数据对中国对外直接投资的母国碳排放效应进行实证分析，结果显示， OFDI增加了我国的碳排放量，即OFDI每提高1％，人均CO2排放量增加0.012％左右。但此种效应存在明显的地区差异，即OFDI对中部地区碳排放增加效应明显高于西部，而东部地区碳排放效应为负且不显著；与此同时，经济规模、产业结构、技术水平、能源消费结构对我国碳排放量均产生显著影响。