朝鲜半岛北南关系对中国的影响及应对

摘要

自天安号事件至今,异常紧张的朝鲜半岛北南关系暂时告一段落,逐渐由军事博弈转移到外交博弈上来。近期半岛北南关系大幅度缓和可能性不大,但有缓和迹象,可谓冲突与缓和契机并存。倘若半岛北南双方再次发生冲突就会对中国造成一定影响。本文主要分析去年以来半岛北南紧张关系升级及对中国造成的影响,并提出相应的应对措施。%Since the Cheonan Incident,the seriously tense relationship between the two Koreas has come to a temporary end,changing gradually form military game to diplomatic game.Recently,this relationship is unlikely to mitigate,but there is sign of relaxation.If conflict happens once more,it will affect China.The influence of upgrade of the tense relationship between the Koreas since 2010 is studied in this paper.Some countermeasures are also proposed.