基于生存分析方法的步行行人闯红灯行为研究

摘要

将海德归因理论应用到步行行人过街行为中，提出了步行行人闯红灯归因理论，该理论分析了步行行人闯红灯行为及其主要影响因素，利用生存分析方法，研究步行行人的闯红灯行为，具体分析步行行人闯红灯的影响因素，然后以中小城市的交叉口例，分析影响因素的影响效果，结果表明，该理论与方法可以有效地研究影响步行行人闯红灯行为的影响因素。%By adopting attribution theory of Hyde to illustrate the pedestrians' crossing behaviors,this paper puts forward attribution theory of pedestrians' red light running. It analyzes the main influencing factors for pedestrians' running red light. Through survival analysis on pedestrians' behaviors of running red light, it explores influencing factors in details with examples. Results show that the proposed theory and method can be used to probe into pe⁃destrians' behaviors of running red light effectively.