基于广义费雪指数的我国钢铁工业碳排放量变化及影响因素分解

摘要

Having calculated and analyzed carbon dioxide emissions in China's steel industry over the peri-od 2001 ~201 1,this paper establishes the decomposition to decompose the influencing factors of carbon dioxide emissions in China's steel industry based on the Generalized Fisher Index method and then pres-ents some carbon dioxide emissions reduction advice.It concludes that the economic development is the main factor for accelerating carbon dioxide emissions in China's steel industry and has a pulling function on it,and that the energy structure effect is low for carbon dioxide emissions growth in China's steel in-dustry while the energy intensity has an inhibitory effect on it.%在对2001~2011年我国钢铁工业 CO 2排放量进行测算与变化分析的基础上，建立基于广义费雪指数的钢铁工业 CO 2排放影响因素分解模型，对我国钢铁工业 CO 2排放因素进行分解，并给出我国钢铁工业减排建议。研究结果表明：经济发展效应是影响我国钢铁工业 CO 2排放的主要因素，且对钢铁工业 CO 2排放增长起拉动作用；能源结构效应对我国钢铁工业 CO 2排放增长整体起微弱拉动作用；能源强度效应对我国钢铁工业 CO 2排放增长起着抑制作用。