医疗机构床位需求量预测方法的应用及分析

摘要

Using methods to forecast bed numbers of L city, such as health resources need analysis, health resources demand analysis and health resources population ratio analysis, and then make a comparative study. The results show that it is better to use health resources population ratio analysis to forecast bed numbers according to the actual situation of L city, and determine the total bed numbers of L city is 23165 in 2015.%采用卫生资源需要法、卫生资源需求法及卫生资源人口比值法预测L市2015年的床位数，并进行比较研究。结果认为，根据L市实际情况，采用卫生资源人口比值法预测床位数的效果较好，最终确定L市2015年的床位总量为23165张。