甘肃半干旱地区农户耕地撂荒行为的影响因素

摘要

The Logistic model for influencing factors of farmers’farmland abandonment behavior was built based on the survey data of 400 farmer households from 31 villages (towns)of 4 Cities in Gunsu to study the reasons of farmers'farmland abandonment behavior and provide a theoretical reference for solving the issue of farmers'farmland abandonment in semi-arid areas in China.The results showed that the higher the proportion of non-agricultural laboring population in a family with the strong willingness of non-agricultural occupation is,the higher the possibility of farmers'farmland abandonment behavior happens, while the more the total population in a family under the conditions of good water resources, rural infrastructure,land transfer policy,the less the possibility of farmers'farmland abandonment behavior happens.The countermeasures to further implement benefit farming policy,increase agricultural input intensity according to circumstances,improve rural infrastructure condition,perfect rural social security system and speed up arable land transfer are proposed for eliminating farmers ’farmland abandonment behavior in semi-arid areas in China to an extreme.%为了探明我国半干旱地区农户耕地撂荒的原因，对解决这一地区的农户耕地撂荒问题提供理论参考，利用对甘肃省4个市31个乡（镇）400个农户的调查数据，构建农户耕地撂荒行为影响因素的Logistic回归模型，对半干旱区农户耕地撂荒行为的影响因素进行了实证分析。研究发现：家庭非农业劳动人口所占比例越高、从事非农职业意向越强，农户耕地撂荒行为发生的可能性越大；家庭总人口数越大，家庭收入主要来源于农业，水资源禀赋、农村基础设施条件、土地流转以及政府支农惠农政策落实的状况越好，农户耕地撂荒行为发生的可能性越小。为了最大程度地消除半干旱区的农户耕地撂荒现象，应进一步落实支农惠农政策，因地制宜加大农业投入力度，改善农村基础设施条件，完善农村社会保障制度，加快耕地流转步伐。