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水文模型与生态环境发展纵览

     

摘要

水文模型是水文科学研究的重要方法.文章详细梳理了自1851年Mulvancy推理公式以来水文模型的发展历史,为原始萌芽时期、近代发展时期、现代变革时期三个发展时期,总结了21世纪以来水文模型研究的最新动态,绘制了水文模型发展的时间轴,对生态环境与水文模型的耦合进行了探讨,包括生态环境对人类的影响和水文模型对生态环境的影响,最后给出了未来水文模型发展趋势的展望及所要面对的主要难题;以期推动水文模型研究工作的进一步发展.%Hydrological model is an important method of hydrologyresearch. This article combed the development history of hydrological models since Mulvancy reasoning formula in 1851. Dated&summarized as follows three development periods:primi-tive sprouting period,modern developing period,contemporary changing period. This paper summarized the latest development in research of hydrological model since the 21st century. It drew the development timeline of hydrological model and discussed the coupling of ecological environment and hydrological model,including the impact of ecological environment on human beings and the influence of hydrological model on ecological environment. The outlook for the future development trend and the main problem for hydrological model were put forward in order to promote the further development in this area.

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