At present, Northeast China is undergoing a severe economic decline, which has drawn a great amount of so-cial attention, so that some people stated that Northeast China's economy might fall behind for a long time.The cause of the economic recession in Northeast China is directly represented by the gap in its system, mechanism and concept, but in fact, the economic decline of Northeast China is the result of several industry absences in economic base, including traditional leading industry absence, emerging industry absence and resource-based industry absence, which in turn form institution rigescence in superstructure.From the views of industrial development cycle, national macro-policy choice as well as regional resource endowments, the Northeast China's depression has its historical inevitability;its revival in turn is also a matter of natural course, since the arrival of new industrial revolution, the implement of market-oriented reform and the radical change of external environment will be a great chance for Northeast China's economy to rise again, here-by, how to make right arrangements for Northeast China's economic activities would be the key to revival in the near fu-ture.Therefore, only by objective and scientific understanding of the Northeast economy, can we make the right policy choices.%当前,东北经济严重衰退引起社会关注,甚至有东北经济将长期滞后之论.分析东北地区经济衰退的成因,固然很直接地表象为其体制、 机制、 观念上的差距,但传统优势加工制造业、高新产业、 资源能源型基础产业共同"缺位"是其经济基础上的根本原因,并由此带来了东北经济体制固化,造成了东北经济屡振不兴的结果.从产业发展的周期、 国家宏观政策选择、 区位物质条件看,东北经济的衰退有其历史必然性;东北经济的复兴也同样具有历史必然性,新产业革命的到来、 市场化体制改革的深化、 外部环境的巨变将给东北经济复兴带来历史机遇,而东北经济自身陷入穷则必变的困境更是东北经济走向复兴的必然所在.对此,只有客观、 科学地认识东北经济才能做出正确的政策选择.
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