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中国产业跨区域转移的总体特征与趋势

     

摘要

在总结我国产业跨区域转移历史过程的基础上,从广义的产业转移内涵出发,借鉴区域间投入产出模型定量分析了我国2007-2012年省区间的产业转移。资源、劳动密集型产业从东部沿海地区向中西部地区转移的速度正在加快,主要以从长三角和珠三角地区向中部地区转移为主,西部地区虽然承接了大量的资源开采型产业,但其投资的加快也引起了中东部地区相关制造业的增长,即间接隐性产业转出。未来,具有资源指向性的产业、劳动密集型和低端加工制造环节以及部分钢铁、石化等资本密集型产业将会进一步向中西部地区转移,而具有技术密集型的产业或生产环节将会进一步在东部地区集中。%After summing up the historical process of industries transfer across the region in China , this article investigates the inter-regional industry transfers in China by a model of quantitative analysis on bases of multi -regional input-output table from the perspective of broad meaning of industry transfer .The speed of industry transfer from east, mainly with Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta , to middle and west regions is accelerating , and west re-gion accepts lots of energy and resources exploitation industry , but its expansion of investment also causes much in -crease of relevant manufactures in east and middle regions , namely indirect or embedded industry transfer .In future, industries such as resource -intensive, labor-intensive and low-end manufacturing sectors as well as some iron and steel, petrochemical and other capital-intensive industries will be further transferred to the central and western regions , and the technology-intensive industries or production processes will be further concentrated in the eastern region .

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