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Essays on Macroeconomic Implications of International Capital Flow and Fiscal Uncertainty

机译:国际资本流动和财政不确定性对宏观经济的影响论文

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摘要

This dissertation comprises three chapters that contribute to a broader and an ongoing discussion in the macroeconomics, international economics, and development economics literature. Specifically, the first chapter focuses on understanding how shocks to long-term U.S debt held by foreign official institutions such as foreign central banks and foreign ministries of finance affect the U.S economy. In the context of a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium(DSGE) model with imperfect asset substitution between short and long-term government bonds, I find that shocks to long-term U.S debt held by foreign official institutions have expansionary effects on the economy--they lower the long-term interest rate and increase output, consumption and inflation. This result is supported by empirical findings from a structural vector autoregression model (SVAR). The second chapter advances the study of foreign aid fungibility by showing how subtle characteristics of household behavior interact with fungible aid and institutional factors to impact aid effectiveness. Specifically, I build a simple dynamic optimizing model and show that the way consumers internalize an aid induced increase in government spending can have very contrasting impacts on aid effectiveness-- a feature absent in the extensive empirical literature. Finally, the third chapter studies how different discretionary government spending policy options impact the consequences of explosive government transfer payments. I employ a DSGE model with a fiscal limit-- a point where higher taxation is no longer a feasible financing for this study.
机译:本文共分三章,对宏观经济学,国际经济学和发展经济学文献进行了更广泛和不断的讨论。具体而言,第一章着重于了解外国官方机构(如外国中央银行和外国财政部)对美国长期债务的冲击如何影响美国经济。在短期和长期政府债券之间资产置换不完全的动态随机一般均衡(DSGE)模型的背景下,我发现外国官方机构持有的长期美国国债受到冲击,对经济产生了扩张性影响-降低长期利率,增加产出,消费和通胀。结构矢量自回归模型(SVAR)的经验发现支持了这一结果。第二章通过显示家庭行为的微妙特征如何与可替代援助和影响援助有效性的制度因素相互作用,来推进对外国援助的替代性的研究。具体来说,我建立了一个简单的动态优化模型,并显示了消费者将援助导致的政府支出增加内部化的方式可能对援助有效性产生截然不同的影响,这是广泛的经验文献中所没有的。最后,第三章研究了不同的可自由支配的政府支出政策选择如何影响爆炸性政府转移支付的后果。我采用了具有财政限制的DSGE模型-在这一点上,更高的税收不再是本研究的可行融资。

著录项

  • 作者

    Darko Francois, John Nana.;

  • 作者单位

    University of Kansas.;

  • 授予单位 University of Kansas.;
  • 学科 Economic theory.;Public policy.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2017
  • 页码 165 p.
  • 总页数 165
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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