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BUSINESS CYCLES, FISCAL STABILIZATION AND VERTICAL FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT: ESSAYS IN INTERNATIONAL MACROECONOMICS

机译:商业周期,财政稳定和垂直外国直接投资:国际宏观经济研究

摘要

My dissertation studies various questions falling into the broad context ofmacroeconomics and international economics. The questions have macroeconomiccomponents because they are concerned with the behavior of aggregates. Specifically,the second and third chapters of my dissertation study the causes of fluctuations inaggregate macroeconomic variables and the way policy can be coordinatedinternationally to reduce these fluctuations, respectively. In addition, chapters III and IVaddress questions that fall into the realm of international economics. They are concernedwith the optimal exchange rate regime between two countries, the consequences ofpartial exchange rate pass-through and the effect of an increase in vertical Foreign DirectInvestment (FDI) by domestic firms. The framework of my analysis is given by differentversions of general equilibrium models.The second chapter of my dissertation decomposes fluctuations in aggregate observablesfor the UK economy during the 1980s recession. Using a modern accounting procedure,I estimate parameters that describe the economy using annual data from 1970 to 2002. Then, I simulate different versions of the model to find the distortions that are essentialin driving the observed fluctuations. I find labor market distortions to be crucial inaccounting for the episode, suggesting that the policies of the time were well targetedand effective.The third chapter of my dissertation studies policy coordination in a two-countryframework allowing for partial pass-through. In particular, both countries are assumed tohave monetary and fiscal stabilization instruments available. The optimal setting of theseinstruments under differing pass-through regimes is analytically derived. Fiscal policy isfound to be used in a counter-cyclical fashion. In addition, the magnitude of fiscalstabilization is the largest when pass-through is partial.In the fourth chapter, I study the consequences of vertical FDI on aggregate productivityand welfare. The framework allows for heterogeneity across firms in two dimensions. Itis firms that are at a disadvantage with respect to manufacturing costs that are benefitingmost from moving their production process abroad. Overall, the ability to engage invertical FDI increases productivity, lowers prices and thus increases welfare.
机译:本文研究了宏观经济学和国际经济学广泛背景下的各种问题。这些问题具有宏观经济成分,因为它们与聚集体的行为有关。具体来说,本文的第二章和第三章分别研究了导致宏观经济变量波动的原因以及为减少这些波动而进行国际协调的方式。此外,第三章和第四章讨论了属于国际经济学领域的问题。他们关注的是两国之间的最佳汇率制度,部分汇率转嫁的后果以及国内公司垂直外国直接投资(FDI)增加的影响。我的分析框架是通过一般均衡模型的不同版本给出的。论文的第二章分解了1980年代经济衰退期间英国经济总可观测值的波动。使用现代会计程序,我使用1970年至2002年的年度数据来估计描述经济的参数。然后,我模拟了该模型的不同版本,以找出对观察到的波动起重要作用的失真。我发现劳动力市场的扭曲是造成这一事件的关键原因,这表明当时的政策是有针对性和有效的。本论文的第三章研究了两国框架中的政策协调,允许部分通过。特别是,假定这两个国家都有可用的货币和财政稳定工具。通过分析得出了这些仪器在不同通过模式下的最佳设置。财政政策被发现以反周期方式使用。此外,当部分通过时,财政稳定的程度最大。在第四章​​中,我研究了垂直外国直接投资对总生产率和福利的影响。该框架允许公司在两个维度上实现异质性。在生产成本方面处于劣势的公司是最受益于将生产流程转移到国外的企业。总体而言,从事垂直外国直接投资的能力提高了生产率,降低了价格,从而增加了福利。

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    Kersting Erasmus K.;

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  • 年度 2010
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