首页> 外文学位 >The cumulative and aggregate simulation of exposure framework.
【24h】

The cumulative and aggregate simulation of exposure framework.

机译:曝光框架的累积和汇总模拟。

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例

摘要

With a realization of the widespread potential of exposure in the home, and the special sensitivities of children, comes the realization of the need for adequate assessments of children's exposure in residential environments. Most existing models operate at a low level of detail, do not give sufficient weight to exposure assessment, offer little flexibility, and are much too general to be of great value. The purpose of this dissertation is to introduce the development of new tools for exploring and estimating non-dietary exposure to environmental contaminants.; The first of these tools is the Cumulative and Aggregate Simulation of Exposure (CASE) framework to estimate human exposure from multiple chemicals and through multiple routes. The CASE construct allows for greater control for experimentation, repeatability, and sensitivity analysis, and permits the propagation of variability and uncertainty of input parameters via Monte Carlo simulation. Features of the CASE framework are illustrated in an application to estimate children's residential exposure to lead. Compared to literature values of lead exposure, the CASE framework is capable of producing order of magnitude estimates for the three exposure routes.; Another tool refines dermal exposure estimates by incorporating contact-specific surface area data. The result is a model capable of accounting for spatial characteristics of qualitative hand configurations. An example is given modeling dermal exposure to chlorpyrifos. Such techniques may provide more realistic estimates of concentration gradients across the skin and better representations of dermal exposure due to multiple contacts.; Finally, another module simulates probabilistically relevant sequential micro-level activity data using collected activity patterns. The methods use modified Markov chains to model sequences as a collection of single step transitions. These techniques may aid the field of exposure assessment by extending the value of current sequential micro-level activity data which can be used in intensive model constructs, such as the CASE framework.; Exposure assessment and analysis is a relatively new field. There are many fundamental issues still left to explore. This work has advanced the field of human exposure in a number of ways by both the contributions it makes to the field and the questions that arise in the exploratory process.
机译:随着人们认识到家庭中广泛的接触潜力以及儿童的特殊敏感性,认识到需要对居住环境中的儿童接触进行充分评估。现有的大多数模型工作细节程度较低,没有足够的权重进行暴露评估,几乎没有灵活性,而且过于笼统而没有很大价值。本文的目的是介绍开发新工具以探索和估计非饮食环境污染物的暴露。这些工具中的第一个是“累积和累积暴露模拟”(CASE)框架,用于估计多种化学品和多种途径对人体的暴露。 CASE构造可以更好地控制实验,可重复性和灵敏度分析,并允许通过蒙特卡洛模拟传播输入参数的可变性和不确定性。 CASE框架的功能在一个应用中进行了说明,以估算儿童在住宅中的铅暴露量。与铅暴露的文献数据相比,CASE框架能够对三种暴露途径产生数量级的估计。另一个工具通过合并特定于接触的表面积数据来完善皮肤接触估计。结果是一个模型,该模型能够说明定性手形的空间特征。给出了一个示例,说明皮肤暴露于毒死rif。这样的技术可以提供更真实的皮肤浓度梯度估计值,以及由于多次接触而更好地表示皮肤暴露情况。最后,另一个模块使用收集的活动模式来模拟概率相关的顺序微观活动数据。该方法使用修改的马尔可夫链将序列建模为单步过渡的集合。这些技术可以通过扩展当前连续的微观活动数据的值来帮助暴露评估领域,这些数据可以在密集的模型构建中使用,例如CASE框架。接触评估和分析是一个相对较新的领域。还有许多基本问题尚待探索。这项工作通过对人类接触领域的贡献和探索过程中出现的问题,以多种方式推动了人类接触领域的发展。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号