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International risk sharing and portfolio choice with incomplete asset markets.

机译:资产市场不完整的国际风险分担和投资组合选择。

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This dissertation studies international portfolio decisions and transactions of U.S. investors. Chapter 1 addresses the question "Why do investors trade a lot in foreign assets and hold so little of them in their portfolios?" I show that both observations can arise naturally in the presence of nontraded consumption risk when each country specializes in production, preferences exhibit consumption home bias, and asset markets are incomplete. Using a general equilibrium two-country, two-sector model of the world economy I show that low diversification occurs because variations in relative prices (i) increase the riskiness of foreign returns; and (ii) facilitate risk-sharing across countries. Large and volatile capital flows are necessary to take advantage of international risk premia differentials that occur in response to productivity changes.;Chapter 2 develops a theoretical model that allows me to examine how greater integration in world financial markets affects the behavior of international capital flows and financial returns. The model predicts that international capital flows are large (in absolute value) and very volatile during the early stages of financial integration when international asset trading is concentrated in bonds. As integration progresses and households gain access to world equity markets, the size and volatility of international bond flows fall dramatically, but continue to exceed the size and volatility of international equity flows. This is the natural outcome of greater risk sharing facilitated by increased integration.;The results in chapters 1 and 2 are based on a new solution technique developed in Chapter 3. It presents a new numerical method for solving general equilibrium models with many assets. The method can be applied to models where there are heterogeneous agents, time-varying investment opportunity sets, and incomplete markets. It also can be used to study models where the equilibrium dynamics are non-stationary. I illustrate how the method is used by solving a one- and two-sector versions of a two-country general equilibrium model with production. I check the accuracy of the method by comparing the numerical solution to the one-sector model against its known analytic properties. The method is then applied to the two-sector model for which no analytic solution is available.
机译:本文研究了美国投资者的国际投资组合决策和交易。第1章讨论了一个问题:“为什么投资者在国外资产中进行大量交易而在投资组合中却持有很少的资产?”我表明,当每个国家都专门从事生产,偏好表现出消费本国偏见且资产市场不完整时,在存在非交易性消费风险的情况下,两种观察结果自然会产生。使用世界经济的一般均衡两国两部门模型,我证明了多元化程度低是因为相对价格的变化(i)增加了外国回报的风险; (ii)促进各国之间的风险共担。为了利用因生产力变化而发生的国际风险溢价差异,必须有大量且不稳定的资本流动。第二章建立了一种理论模型,使我能够研究世界金融市场中更大程度的一体化如何影响国际资本流动的行为和财务回报。该模型预测,在国际资产交易集中在债券中的金融一体化的早期阶段,国际资本流动会很大(绝对价值)并且非常不稳定。随着一体化进程的发展和家庭进入世界股票市场的机会,国际债券流动的规模和波动性急剧下降,但仍超过国际股票流动的规模和波动性。这是通过增加集成促进更大的风险分担的自然结果。;第1章和第2章中的结果基于第3章中开发的新的求解技术。它提出了一种新的数值方法,用于求解具有许多资产的一般均衡模型。该方法可应用于存在异构主体,时变投资机会集和不完整市场的模型。它也可用于研究平衡动力学不稳定的模型。我通过求解带生产量的两国一般均衡模型的一部门和两部门版本来说明如何使用该方法。我通过将一站式模型的数值解与已知分析特性进行比较来检查该方法的准确性。然后将该方法应用于没有分析解决方案的两部门模型。

著录项

  • 作者

    Hnatkovska, Viktoria V.;

  • 作者单位

    Georgetown University.;

  • 授予单位 Georgetown University.;
  • 学科 Economics General.;Economics Finance.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2006
  • 页码 187 p.
  • 总页数 187
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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