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Empirical models for estimating automobiles running speeds on urban streets.

机译:用于估算城市街道上汽车行驶速度的经验模型。

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摘要

This research study determines the factors affecting running speed of automobiles on urban streets. The Highway Capacity Manual (HCM), the most widely used tool in transportation and traffic engineering practice in the United States, evaluates the performance of urban streets in terms of average travel speed of through vehicles. The HCM provides default values for running time as a function of street classification, free-flow speed, and segment length. However, the HCM methods does not take into consideration the influence of traffic volume and turning vehicles on running speeds of through vehicles.; This research examines the factors influencing running time or running speed of automobiles on urban streets and develops quantitative models to estimate running time as a function of various geometric variables and traffic flow conditions. The research further determines the influence of different geometric factors on free-flow speed of vehicles on urban streets.; Field data were collected for roadside geometric variables, automobiles free-flow speed, and running time under varying traffic flow conditions. Free-flow speed data of 1742 passenger cars and 1300 miles of travel time data were collected from three different urban street networks in northern Virginia. The analysis of free-flow speed data revealed posted speed to be the most significant factor affecting free-flow speed of vehicles on urban streets. Other significant factors influencing free-flow speed include spacing between the signals and presence and absence of medians.; Three statistical models - linear regression model, regression tree model, and generalized linear models (GLM) - were developed relating running time with roadside geometric and traffic flow variables. The findings from data analysis showed free-flow speed, segment length, and traffic flow rate as the most significant variables affecting running speed of vehicles. Free-flow speed and segment length were found to be positively related with running speed. This means that higher the free-flow speed and larger the spacing between the signals, higher would be the running speeds of vehicles. Traffic flow rate, on the other hand, was determined to have an inverse relationship with running speed. The regression model determined 0.1 percent increase in running time for one percent increase in traffic flow rate. Other factors found to be affecting running speed were percentage of turning vehicles at signalized intersections, median type, such as median separated or two way left turn lane, or no median, and number of driveways and access density per unit length of segment. Median type and access density were used as surrogate factors to study the influence of left and right turning vehicles on mid-block speeds of through vehicles.; The values of running time from the linear regression model were compared with the default values of running time given in HCM. It is determined that HCM overestimates running time especially, for smaller segments. Also, the decline in running time from smaller to larger segments from the model is not as steep as the decline in HCM values. The prediction models developed in this study for free-flow speed and running time of vehicles on urban streets could be effectively used in the absence of field data.
机译:这项研究确定了影响城市街道上汽车行驶速度的因素。高速公路通行能力手册(HCM)是美国交通运输和交通工程实践中使用最广泛的工具,它通过车辆的平均行驶速度来评估城市街道的性能。 HCM根据街道分类,自由流动速度和路段长度提供运行时间的默认值。但是,HCM方法未考虑交通量和转弯车辆对直通车行驶速度的影响。这项研究研究了影响城市街道上汽车的运行时间或运行速度的因素,并开发了定量模型来估算运行时间,这些时间是各种几何变量和交通流量条件的函数。该研究进一步确定了不同几何因素对城市街道上车辆自由流动速度的影响。在路况几何条件,汽车自由流动速度和变化交通状况下的行驶时间方面收集现场数据。从弗吉尼亚北部的三个不同的城市街道网络收集了1742辆乘用车的自由流动速度数据和1300英里的行驶时间数据。对自由流动速度数据的分析表明,张贴速度是影响城市街道车辆自由流动速度的最重要因素。影响自由流动速度的其他重要因素包括信号之间的间隔以及中位数的存在与否。开发了三种统计模型-线性回归模型,回归树模型和广义线性模型(GLM)-将运行时间与路边几何和交通流量变量相关联。数据分析的结果表明,自由流动速度,路段长度和交通流量是影响车辆行驶速度的最重要变量。发现自由流动速度和段长度与运行速度成正相关。这意味着自由流动速度越高,信号之间的间隔越大,车辆的行驶速度就越高。另一方面,确定交通流量与行驶速度成反比关系。回归模型确定运行时间增加0.1%,交通流量增加1%。被发现影响行驶速度的其他因素包括在信号交叉口转弯车辆的百分比,中位数类型(例如中位数分隔或左转左转车道的两个中位数或无中位数)以及车道的数量和每段路段的出行密度。以中位数类型和出行密度作为替代因子,研究左转和右转车辆对直通车中段速度的影响。将线性回归模型中的运行时间值与HCM中给出的默认运行时间值进行了比较。可以确定的是,HCM高估了运行时间,尤其是对于较小的段。同样,模型中运行时间从较小部分到较大部分的下降幅度不如HCM值下降幅度那么大。在没有现场数据的情况下,可以有效地使用本研究中开发的用于城市街道上车辆的自由流动速度和行驶时间的预测模型。

著录项

  • 作者

    Ali, Asma Tayyab.;

  • 作者单位

    George Mason University.;

  • 授予单位 George Mason University.;
  • 学科 Engineering Civil.
  • 学位 Ph.D.
  • 年度 2007
  • 页码 208 p.
  • 总页数 208
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 建筑科学;
  • 关键词

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