首页> 外文会议>Mathematics, Informatics, Science and Education International Conference >Comparison of Confidence Intervals for the TG Estimator in Capture-recapture Data
【24h】

Comparison of Confidence Intervals for the TG Estimator in Capture-recapture Data

机译:捕获重新捕获数据中TG估计置信度的比较

获取原文

摘要

Capture-recapture techniques are very powerful tool and widely used for estimating an elusive target population size. Capture-recapture count data is presented in form of frequencies of frequencies data. They consist of the frequency of unites detected exactly once, twice, and so on, and the frequency of undetected unites is unknown. As consequence, the resulting distribution is a zero-truncated count distribution. The binomial distribution is selected as a simple model if the maximum number of counting occasions is known. It counting occasions are not known in advance, the series of frequencies assumed to be the Poisson distribution. In fact, the target population might be heterogeneous because it has different characteristics, resulting in over or under dispersion based on the basic models. The mixed Poisson, which is the exponential-Poisson mixture model, have been widely used to construct population size estimator for capture-recapture data. The original Turing estimator provides a good performance under the Poisson distribution. Additionally, an extension of Turing estimator, called the Turing-based geometric distribution with non-parametric approach was proposed (TG) for the heterogeneous population. It gives an easy way to estimate the target population size. In this work, we derived uncertainty measures for the TG estimator by considering two sources of variance (M1), and the second way is using only one source of variance (M2). It is emphasised that although the analytic approaches to compute uncertainty measures can be easily used in practice, there are valid asymptotically and requires a large sample size. Therefore, re-sampling approaches, true bootstraps (M3), imputed bootstrap (M4) and reduced bootstrap (M5), are proposed as alternative methods to get uncertainty measures. The study compares performance of variance and confidence interval of paralytics and re-sampling methods by using a simulation study. Overall, the imputed bootstrap is the best choice for estimating variance and constructing confidence interval for the TG estimator. The analytic approach with two sources of variance remains successful to estimate variance and calculate confidence interval in the case of large. It is very clear that the reduced bootstrap and the analytic approach with one source of variance are not appropriate in all situations. For the true bootstrap, the true value of population size is often unknown in nature; therefore, it quite useless for capture-recapture study.
机译:捕获重新捕获技术是非常强大的工具,并且广泛用于估计难以捉摸的目标群体大小。捕获重新捕获计数数据以频率数据的频率形式呈现。它们由检测到的单位频率组成,两次,两次等,并且未检测到的单位的频率未知。结果,产生的分布是零截断的计数分布。如果已知最大数量的计数时间,则选择二项式分布为简单模型。它计数的场合预先知道,这一系列频率被认为是泊松分布。事实上,目标群体可能是异质的,因为它具有不同的特性,导致基于基本模型的分散方式或分散。作为指数泊松混合物模型的混合泊松已被广泛用于构建捕获重新捕获数据的群体大小估计器。原始图灵估算器在泊松分布下提供了良好的性能。另外,提出了一种称为基于图灵的几何分布的图灵估算器的扩展(TG)用于异质群体。它给出了一种估计目标人口大小的简单方法。在这项工作中,我们通过考虑两个方差来源(M1)来派生TG估计器的不确定性措施,而第二种方式仅使用一个方差源(M2)。强调,尽管在实践中可以轻易使用分析方法来计算不确定性措施,但有效渐近,需要大量的样本大小。因此,提出了重新采样方法,真正的引导(M3),欠换的引导(M4)和减少的引导(M5)作为获得不确定性措施的替代方法。该研究比较了使用模拟研究比较了麻痹和重新采样方法的变化和置信区间的性能。总的来说,避阻的Bootstrap是估算TG估计器的方差和构建置信区间的最佳选择。具有两个方差源的分析方法仍然成功估计方差并在大的情况下计算置信区间。非常清楚的是,在所有情况下,具有一个方差来源的减少的举止和分析方法都不适合。对于真正的Bootstrap,人口大小的真实值通常是未知的;因此,它对于捕获重新捕获研究非常无用。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号