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Adaptive Ensemble Learning with Confidence Bounds for Personalized Diagnosis

机译:适应集合学习,充满性能诊断的信心范围

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With the advances in the field of medical informatics, automated clinical decision support systems are becoming the de facto standard in personalized diagnosis. In order to establish high accuracy and confidence in personalized diagnosis, massive amounts of distributed, heterogeneous, correlated and high-dimensional patient data from different sources such as wearable sensors, mobile applications, Electronic Health Record (EHR) databases etc. need to be processed. This requires learning both locally and globally due to privacy constraints and/or distributed nature of the multimodal medical data. In the last decade, a large number of meta-learning techniques have been proposed in which local learners make online predictions based on their locally-collected data instances, and feed these predictions to an ensemble learner, which fuses them and issues a global prediction. However, most of these works do not provide performance guarantees or, when they do, these guarantees are asymptotic. None of these existing works provide confidence estimates about the issued predictions or rate of learning guarantees for the ensemble learner. In this paper, we provide a systematic ensemble learning method called Hedged Bandits, which comes with both long run (asymptotic) and short run (rate of learning) performance guarantees. Moreover, we show that our proposed method outperforms all existing ensemble learning techniques, even in the presence of concept drift.
机译:随着医学信息管理领域的进展,自动化的临床决策支持系统正成为个性化诊断的事实标准。为了在个性化诊断中建立高精度和置信度,需要处理来自不同源,移动应用,电子健康记录(EHR)数据库等的不同来源的分布式,异构,相关和高维患者数据的大量分布式,异构,相关和高维患者数据。这需要在本地和全球范围内学习由于隐私约束和/或多模式医学数据的分布性质。在过去的十年中,已经提出了大量的元学习技术,其中本地学习者基于其当地收集的数据实例进行了在线预测,并将这些预测馈送到集合学习者,这些学习者融合它们并发出全局预测。但是,大多数作品都不提供性能保证,或者,当他们这样做时,这些保证是渐近的。这些现有的作品都没有提供关于合奏学习者所发行的预测或学习担保率的信心估计。在本文中,我们提供了一种称为HEDGED匪徒的系统集合学习方法,它既长期(渐近)和短期运行(学习速度)性能保证。此外,我们表明我们所提出的方法优于所有现有的集合学习技巧,即使在概念漂移的情况下也是如此。

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