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Dynamics of Climate-based Malaria Transmission Model with Age-Structured Human Population

机译:具有年龄结构人群气候疟疾传输模型的动态

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In this paper, we proposed to study the dynamics of malaria transmission with periodic birth rate of the vector and an age-structure for the human population. The human population is divided into two compartments: pre-school (0-5 years) and the rest of the human population. We showed the existence of a disease-free equilibrium point. Using published epidemiological parameters, we use numerical simulations to show potential effect of climate change in the dynamics of age-structured malaria transmission. Numerical simulations suggest that there exists an asymptotically attractive solution that is positive and periodic.
机译:在本文中,我们建议研究疟疾传播的动态与载体的周期性出生率和人口的年龄结构。人口分为两个隔间:学前(0-5岁)和其他人口。我们表明存在无疾病平衡点。使用公开的流行病学参数,我们使用数值模拟来表达气候变化在年龄结构疟疾传输动态中的潜在影响。数值模拟表明存在具有正和周期性的渐近有吸引力的解决方案。

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