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Characterizing Day-ahead Forecast Errors of PV Power in Hokkaido: An Assessment with 2Years of Data

机译:在北海道的PV权力的表征中的表征预测错误:评估2年的数据

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The performance of a method to forecast PV power one dayahead of time was presented and the expected error per forecastedvalue in each season in Hokkaido was characterized. In the regionthe forecast method had 80% better skill than persistence, but largeerrors, although infrequent, were as high as 50% of the peak poweroutput. Spring had the highest average and large errors. Previouslywe analysed the characteristics of the forecast errors of Kyushu.In following studies, a comparison between different regions ofJapan will be done and the results will be used in the developmentof operation planning method.
机译:一天预测光伏电量的方法的性能提前提出并提出了每次预测的预期误差在北海道的每个季节的价值被描述。在该区域预测方法具有80%的技能,而不是持久性,但大虽然不常见,但耗尽的峰值功率高达50%输出。春天的平均水平最高,错误。之前我们分析了九州预测误差的特征。在下面的研究中,不同地区之间的比较日本将完成,结果将用于发展中运行规划方法。

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