The weather roulette: seasonal wind speed predictions vs. climatology

摘要

Climate predictions can provide new insights in the future variability of climate from sub-seasonal to decadal time scales, which can potentially benefit the wind energy sector. However, current energy practice relies on climatology to estimate what is going to happen in the future. Assuming that future conditions will be similar to the past doesn't take into account extreme events, limited information of the past, variability in past conditions or climate change.