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Fractal analysis of persistence in fluctuation of levels of the Magdalena River

机译:马格达莱纳河水平波动持久性分形分析

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The measures of water level in a river contributes to understand the dynamic of the discharge in a specific point of the catchment.With this kind of information,it is possible to predict and study future flooding events.The official entity CORMAGDALENA with support of IDEAM report every two days the water level along the Magdalena River.The Hurst coefficient H generates a new statistic methodology,which is based on the tendencies of data series,determining the persistence a dataset and consequently its fractality.This research applies this methodology to a dataset of time,registered by CORMAGDALENA in the municipality of Barrancabermeja,in the Department of Santander.The time has been taken between September 29th of 2011 and March 31st of 2017.According to the value of H we can say if the series of behaviours taken has persistence in the case that H is greater than 0.5,if H is less than 0.5 we will say that the series is anti-persistent.With these values of H it is possible to calculate the fractal dimension associated to the comportment and thus to determine the volatility for the analysis of the risk in terms of the fluctuation of the Magdalena River.
机译:河流中水位的措施有助于了解集中点的特定点的动态。在这种信息中,可以预测和研究未来的洪水事件。官方实体Cormagdalena支持IDEAM报告每两天沿着马格达利娜河的水位。赫斯特系数H产生新的统计方法,该方法基于数​​据系列的趋势,确定数据集的持久性,并因此将该方法应用于数据集由Cormagdalena在Barrancabermeja市中登记的时间,在桑坦德纳省。该时间已经在2011年9月29日和2017年3月31日之间采取的时间。根据H我们可以说,如果采取的一系列行为有持久性,我们可以说在H的情况下,H大于0.5,如果H小于0.5,我们会说该系列是反持久性的。可以使用这些值来计算e与拟谈相关的分形尺寸,从而确定了在马格达利纳河波动的波动方面分析风险的波动。

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