A Method for Assessing the Impact of Technical Risks on the Aerospace Product Development Projects

摘要

An approach for the representation and assessment of technical risks in projects of developing aviation equipment as an example of complex products is proposed. The review of risks representation methods is performed. A definition of technical risk is given and for the first time, a method is proposed for assessing technical risk. The method of modeling networks with returns is improved by taking into account the probability of technical risk, which allows obtaining a qualitative characteristic of the project duration. The aim of the work is improving the quality of the planning in projects of developing complex products by taking into account the impact of technical risk.