Cointegration Analysis between the Structure of Manufacturing Industry and the Urban Environment in Anhui Province, China based on VAR VEC Model

摘要

There is a close relationship between industrial structure and ecological environment. Based on the data of the structure of manufacturing industry and the ecological environment during 2000-2015 in Anhui province of China, the VAR and VEC models are constructed. The cointegration test found that, there is significant industrial difference in the equilibrium relationship among structural variables (i.e. the proportion of value added of textile industry, resource processing industry, and machinery and electronic industry) and environmental variables (i.e. water environment, atmospheric environment, and solid environment). On this basis, the Granger causality test was carried out to examine the causal association between variables. Further, with the help of impulse response function and variance decomposition, the direction, degree and contribution of the impulse response among variables are analyzed.